Protestant Voters Favor Republicans in Midterm House Races, 49% to 32%: Pew Survey

October 23, 2026

A new survey from the Pew Research Center shows Protestant voters are more likely to support Republican candidates in the upcoming midterm House elections, with white Evangelical Protestants showing the strongest preference for the GOP.

Christianity Daily reports that the study examined voting preferences of 5,062 U.S. adults, including 3,917 registered voters ahead of the midterm elections and assessed President Donald Trump’s job approval across religious groups.

44% of registered voters nationwide said they intend to vote for the Democratic candidate in their congressional district, compared with 36% who favor the Republican candidate.

However, Protestant voters show a different pattern, with 49% favoring Republican House candidates and 32% supporting Democrats.

According to Pew, the Republican preference is especially pronounced among white Evangelical Protestants, 73% of whom intend to vote for GOP candidates, compared with 12% who favor Democrats.

White non-Evangelical Protestants are more closely divided, with 45% supporting Republicans and 37% backing Democrats.

Christianity Today reports the survey also found that white Evangelical Protestants remain the only religious subgroup in which a majority approve of Trump’s performance as president.

Among white Evangelicals, 58% approve of his leadership and 40% disapprove.

However, Trump’s approval within the group has declined considerably from 78% in January and February 2025.

The midterm elections, scheduled for Nov. 3, 2026, will see voters decide all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats and 36 governorships.

Photo: top, Credit: Unsplash/Ashley Diane Worsham