Trump gained significant ground with non-white Evangelicals, data shows

Voting patterns among Evangelical Christians of all races shows that President Donald Trump gained significant support among non-white voters, particularly Latino voters of faith.

The Christian Post reports that researcher Ryan Burge posted an article to his Graphs About Religion substack on Monday, examining the last five presidential races with data from the Cooperative Election Study.

The study shows that Trump received the highest level of support from Evangelicals of any Republican presidential nominee since 2008.

Burge’s study showed that Evangelical support for the Republican nominee hit its lowest point in the 2012 presidential election when Mitt Romney garnered just 69% of the Republican vote.

By contrast, Trump received 75% of the Evangelical vote in the 2024 election, an improvement from the 73% share he received in 2020 and the 70% share he received in 2016.

According to the Christian Post, Trump’s support among non-white Evangelicals in the 2024 race was even more pronounced.

A majority of non-white Evangelicals supported the Democratic presidential nominee in every race between 2008 and 2020.

In his first two presidential bids, Trump only captured 35% and 40% of the vote from non-white Evangelicals. However, in 2024, Trump’s share grew to 48%, trailing Kamala Harris’s 49% share by just one percentage point.

Burge noted that this is a dramatic swing from the 2020 race when Joe Biden led Trump by 18 percentage points among non-white Evangelicals.

Burge called Trump’s gains among non-white Evangelicals “a huge blow,” adding, “There’s a lot going on in this graph but I think that the big narrative is how Trump just continues to make gains among evangelical voters.” 

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